Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4014
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Tomorrow
OO 4014 · MSP → OMA
departs 9:30 PM CT · arrives 10:48 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Wed 9/30
Thu 10/1 15%
Fri 10/2 14%
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±2 pts
−15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −15 pts in 24h
−15 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at OMA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OMA?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at OMA that day
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
OMA (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.31 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.