OO 4038 · BIL → SLC

departs 11:50 AM MT · arrives 1:22 PM MT

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

4% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
96%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BIL

↓ 11am departures from BIL are usually not late

Weather at each end

BIL (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling7,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SLC (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4038 · BIL → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?