Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4038 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

OO 4038 · BIL → SLC

departs 11:50 AM MT · arrives 1:22 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 61h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

3% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
96%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Fridays in October are usually busier than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BIL

↓ 11am departures from BIL are usually not late

Weather at each end

BIL (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SLC (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4038 · BIL → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?