Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4040
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 4040 · DTW → PVD
departs 2:15 PM ET · arrives 4:13 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 20%
Fri 10/2 18%
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±3 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at PVD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PVD?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
2pm departures from DTW are often late
↑
Arrivals into PVD at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.03 in
PVD (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.