Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4040
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 4040 · DTW → PVD
departs 2:15 PM ET · arrives 4:13 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 21%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 19%
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at PVD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PVD?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from DTW are often late
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into PVD at that hour are often late
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.11 in
PVD (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.