OO 4092 · BZN → SEA

took off 9:36 AM MT · landed 10:20 AM PT (scheduled 8:25 AM MT → 9:28 AM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SEA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ SEA is busy at that time

↓ BZN usually runs smoothly

↓ Visibility down to 1.75 mi forecast at BZN that day

Weather at each end

BZN (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4092 · BZN → SEA

Odds over time

How late did it get to SEA?