OO 4133 · ASE → LAX

departs 12:03 PM MT · arrives 1:24 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at LAX that day

Weather at each end

ASE (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.12 in

LAX (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4133 · ASE → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?