Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4133
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 4133 · ASE → LAX
departs 12:03 PM MT · arrives 1:24 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 23%
Thu 10/1 16%
Fri 10/2 19%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±2 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave ASE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
ASE is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
Weather at each end
ASE (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.