Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4243
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 4243 · DTW → ESC
departs 9:35 PM ET · arrives 11:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 27%
Fri 10/2 12%
Sat 10/3 11%
Sun 10/4 12%
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at ESC more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ESC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at ESC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ESC?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at ESC that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
ESC (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.35 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.