OO 4270 · MSP → IMT

departs 3:20 PM CT · arrives 4:32 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at IMT more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IMT?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 3pm departures from MSP are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at MSP that day

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

IMT (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4270 · MSP → IMT

Odds over time

How late will it get to IMT?