Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4295
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30
OO 4295 · MQT → MSP
departs 5:12 PM ET · arrives 5:37 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 19%
Mon 10/5 22%
Fri 10/9 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave MQT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MQT (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip none
MSP (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.