Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4458
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30
OO 4458 · MKE → MSP
departs 8:00 AM CT · arrives 9:26 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 15%
Mon 10/5 7%
Fri 10/9 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 367 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MKE that day
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at MSP that day
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
MKE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MKE (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.42 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.