Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4462
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
OO 4462 · MKE → MSP
departs 6:59 PM CT · arrives 8:29 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 25%
Fri 10/2 11%
Sat 10/3 11%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
6pm departures from MKE are often late
↑
Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MKE (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.42 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.