Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4473
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 4473 · MSP → RST
departs 3:15 PM CT · arrives 4:04 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 18%
Fri 10/2 14%
Sat 10/3 17%
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 25%
Tue 10/6 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at RST more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RST more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at RST more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to RST?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Other factors
↑
3pm departures from MSP are often late
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip none
RST (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.