OO 4691 · COS → DEN

took off 9:07 AM MT · landed 9:25 AM MT (scheduled 8:53 AM MT → 10:07 AM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±4 pts −15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 36 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at COS that day

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ 8am departures from COS are usually not late

Weather at each end

COS (origin) Gusts36 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.75 in

DEN (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4691 · COS → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?