OO 4691 · COS → DEN

departs 8:35 AM MT · arrives 9:28 AM MT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 36 kt forecast at COS that day

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↓ 8am departures from COS are usually not late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

COS (origin) Gusts36 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.20 in

DEN (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4691 · COS → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?