OO 4743 · AMA → DEN

departs 5:20 PM CT · arrives 6:06 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

49% chance · ±0 pts −21 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 31 kt, cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at AMA that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

AMA (origin) Gusts31 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip1.76 in

DEN (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4743 · AMA → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?