OO 4743 · AMA → DEN

departs 5:20 PM CT · arrives 6:06 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±2 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 31 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at AMA that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ AMA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AMA (origin) Gusts31 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.11 in

DEN (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4743 · AMA → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?