OO 4909 · ORD → MKE

departs 7:18 PM CT · arrives 8:23 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MKE?

On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 7pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ MKE usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip1.14 in

MKE (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.37 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4909 · ORD → MKE

Odds over time

How late will it get to MKE?