Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4912
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 4912 · ASE → DFW
departs 12:51 PM MT · arrives 4:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 56%
Fri 10/2 26%
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4 31%
Mon 10/5 23%
Tue 10/6 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
11%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave ASE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
11%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
Gusts to 30 kt forecast at DFW that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
ASE (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.16 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 9.66667 mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.