Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4912
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 4912 · ASE → DFW
departs 12:51 PM MT · arrives 4:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 26%
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4 31%
Mon 10/5 23%
Tue 10/6 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±12 pts
−12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
59%
Arrive 1h+ late
39%
Cancelled
14%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave ASE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
59%
Yes 59%
No 41%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −17 pts in 24h
−17 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
18%
Cancelled
14%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 1.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ASE (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.58 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.