OO 4917 · ORD → BNA

took off 8:33 AM CT · expected to land 9:31 AM CT (scheduled 8:28 AM CT → 10:10 AM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BNA?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.65 in

BNA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4917 · ORD → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?