OO 4917 · ORD → BNA

departs 8:14 AM CT · arrives 9:48 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.96 in

BNA (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4917 · ORD → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?