Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4941
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 4941 · ORD → MKE
departs 6:45 PM CT · arrives 7:46 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 68%
Fri 10/2 33%
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4 38%
Mon 10/5 27%
Tue 10/6 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
67%
chance · ±0 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
67%
Leave 15+ late
62%
Arrive 1h+ late
27%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
67%
Yes 67%
No 33%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
62%
Yes 62%
No 38%
Arrive at MKE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MKE?
On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
MKE usually runs smoothly
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling 500 ft
Visibility 1.75 mi
Precip 0.90 in
MKE (destination)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 367 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.37 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.