Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4941
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 4941 · ORD → MKE
departs 6:45 PM CT · arrives 7:46 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 56%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 32%
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4 38%
Mon 10/5 26%
Tue 10/6 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
62%
chance · ±3 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
62%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
62%
Yes 62%
No 38%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at MKE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to MKE?
On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
6pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at MKE that day
↓
MKE usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.23 in
MKE (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.27 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.