Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4969
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 4969 · DSM → ORD
departs 8:53 AM CT · arrives 10:38 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 25%
Fri 10/2 15%
Sat 10/3 10%
Sun 10/4 12%
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±6 pts
+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave DSM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.7 in of rain forecast at DSM that day
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
DSM (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 1.66 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.81 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.