Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4969
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 4969 · DSM → ORD
departs 8:53 AM CT · arrives 10:38 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 17%
Sat 10/3 10%
Sun 10/4 12%
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±6 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave DSM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 2.5 in of rain forecast at DSM that day
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Other factors
↓
8am departures from DSM are usually not late
Weather at each end
DSM (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 2.50 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.