OO 501 · DEN → ACV

took off 11:36 AM MT · expected to land 12:49 PM PT (scheduled 11:19 AM MT → 1:05 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ACV more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts −12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ACV?

LIVE

On time or early
99%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ACV that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

ACV (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 501 · DEN → ACV

Odds over time

How late will it get to ACV?