Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5021
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
OO 5021 · ORD → SUX
departs 3:59 PM CT · arrives 5:53 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 68%
Fri 10/2 22%
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4 29%
Mon 10/5 25%
Tue 10/6 24%
Wed 10/7 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at SUX more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
38%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SUX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 56% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at SUX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to SUX?
On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
27%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
3pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
SUX usually runs smoothly
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.95 in
SUX (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.25 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.