Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5021
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 5021 · ORD → SUX
departs 3:59 PM CT · arrives 5:53 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 64%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 22%
Sat 10/3 31%
Sun 10/4 29%
Mon 10/5 25%
Tue 10/6 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at SUX more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±5 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SUX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at SUX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to SUX?
On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
3pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↓
Other factors
↓
SUX usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.74 in
SUX (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.