Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5042 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday

OO 5042 · HYS → DEN

took off 7:28 PM CT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 7:20 PM CT → 7:45 PM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

53% chance · ±0 pts −15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
11%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, thunderstorms forecast at HYS that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ HYS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

HYS (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5042 · HYS → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?