Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5111
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 5111 · DEN → ROW
departs 3:50 PM MT · arrives 5:23 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 16h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 21%
Fri 10/2 20%
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at ROW more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±4 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
53%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ROW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Arrive at ROW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ROW?
On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at DEN that day
↑
3pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
ROW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.34 in
ROW (destination)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 671 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.