Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5111
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
OO 5111 · DEN → ROW
departs 3:50 PM MT · arrives 5:23 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 56%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 22%
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at ROW more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±4 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ROW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at ROW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ROW?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
3pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
This flight has been late 20% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
ROW usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.16 in
ROW (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 4,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.