OO 5128 · IAH → MGM

took off 1:08 PM CT · landed 2:27 PM CT (scheduled 10:56 AM CT → 1:03 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at MGM more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MGM?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ 10am departures from IAH are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MGM

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MGM (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5128 · IAH → MGM

Odds over time

How late did it get to MGM?