OO 5273 · CID → DEN

departs 6:05 PM CT · arrives 7:29 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

49% chance · ±0 pts −15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
27%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at CID that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

CID (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip1.18 in

DEN (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5273 · CID → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?