OO 5305 · MCI → IAH

took off 4:40 PM CT · expected to land 6:19 PM CT (scheduled 3:29 PM CT → 5:57 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

96% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to IAH?

LIVE

On time or early
4%
15–30 min late
37%
30 min–1 hour late
59%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.33 in

IAH (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5305 · MCI → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?