Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5406
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 5406 · SFO → SBP
departs 6:28 PM PT · arrives 7:47 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 26%
Fri 10/2 20%
Sat 10/3 14%
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at SBP more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SBP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at SBP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SBP?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from SFO are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SBP (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.