Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5406
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
OO 5406 · SFO → SBP
departs 6:28 PM PT · arrives 7:47 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 22%
Sat 10/3 14%
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at SBP more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SBP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at SBP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SBP?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at SFO that day
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at SBP that day
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
SBP (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.