Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5436
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 5436 · FWA → ORD
departs 4:44 PM ET · arrives 5:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 15h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 51%
Fri 10/2 27%
Sat 10/3 25%
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 23%
Tue 10/6 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±2 pts
+21 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
34%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave FWA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
17%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 42% of the time recently
↓
FWA usually runs smoothly
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FWA (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.55 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.