Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5436
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 5436 · FWA → ORD
departs 4:44 PM ET · arrives 5:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 51%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 27%
Sat 10/3 25%
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 23%
Tue 10/6 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±10 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
31%
Cancelled
10%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave FWA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
20%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 40% of the time recently
↓
Other factors
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FWA (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.14 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.