OO 543 · DEN → RAP

took off 4:04 PM MT · landed 4:56 PM MT (scheduled 3:47 PM MT → 5:05 PM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at RAP more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −22 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to RAP?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 3pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ RAP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

RAP (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 543 · DEN → RAP

Odds over time

How late did it get to RAP?