Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5451
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 5451 · ORD → ALB
departs 2:30 PM CT · arrives 5:53 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 50%
Fri 10/2 28%
Sat 10/3 32%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 27%
Tue 10/6 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
60%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Arrive at ALB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ALB?
On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
2pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
ALB usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 1.09 in
ALB (destination)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.