Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5451
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 5451 · ORD → ALB
departs 2:30 PM CT · arrives 5:53 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 52%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 30%
Sat 10/3 32%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 27%
Tue 10/6 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±6 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at ALB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to ALB?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
2pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
ALB usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.74 in
ALB (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.