Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5467
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 5467 · ORD → SDF
departs 11:00 AM CT · arrives 1:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 39%
Fri 10/2 21%
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 17%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±2 pts
+28 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
6%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +28 pts in 24h
+28 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at SDF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to SDF?
On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
11am departures from ORD are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SDF
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.86 in
SDF (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.