Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5467
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 5467 · ORD → SDF
departs 11:00 AM CT · arrives 1:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 40%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 20%
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 17%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±9 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at SDF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to SDF?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
11am departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 20% of the time recently
↓
Other factors
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.74 in
SDF (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.