OO 5494 · DEN → AMA

departs 7:20 PM MT · arrives 9:50 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at AMA more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±2 pts −12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AMA?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility8.66667 mi Precip0.11 in

AMA (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.77 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5494 · DEN → AMA

Odds over time

How late will it get to AMA?