Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5494
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 5494 · DEN → AMA
departs 7:20 PM MT · arrives 9:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 33%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 28%
Tue 10/6 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at AMA more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±5 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at AMA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AMA?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Gusts to 31 kt forecast at AMA that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
AMA (destination)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.