OO 5600 · DEN → PIA

departs 5:33 PM MT · arrives 9:01 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at PIA more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±5 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PIA?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at DEN that day

↑ 5pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ PIA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.35 in

PIA (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5600 · DEN → PIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIA?