OO 5781 · DEN → ASE

departs 8:25 PM MT · arrives 9:26 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts −24 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ASE?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 8pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ASE (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5781 · DEN → ASE

Odds over time

How late will it get to ASE?