Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6200
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 6200 · BNA → ORD
departs 4:01 PM CT · arrives 6:09 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 85%
Fri 10/2 44%
Sat 10/3 31%
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 32%
Tue 10/6 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
84%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
84%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
34%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 78% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
84%
Yes 84%
No 16%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
16%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
4pm departures from BNA are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.88 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.